FXON's technical analysts provide market reports in the form of columns on the most recent foreign exchange market movements, based on world news and economic activities. Please take a look at it as a reference for your trading.
2024.11.08
[November 8] U.S. Interest Rate Cut by 0.25% USDJPY Weakens Following Event
Today's USDJPY rose to 153.37 around GMT 01:30, but later fell back to around 153. As of GMT 04:00, it continues to trade in the upper 152-yen range. Looking at the 1-hour chart of the USDJPY (as of GMT 04:00 on November 8), the middle line is trending down, and the price is moving near the -1 standard deviation level. The focus is on whether it will break below yesterday's low of 152.69 yen.
2024.11.07
[November 7] Trump Returns as U.S. President. USDJPY Moves in 154 Range After Sharp Rise
Today's USDJPY maintains its position in the 154 range, recording 154.71 yen around GMT 00:30. As of GMT 04:00, it continues to trade in the mid-154 yen range. Looking at the 1-hour chart, after the sharp rise, the band width has narrowed, and currently no trend is visible.
2024.11.06
[November 6] USDJPY Temporarily Reaches 154-Range on Trump's Strong Performance
Today's USDJPY surged on reports of Trump's strong performance, reaching 154.30 yen around GMT 02:30. After GMT 05:00, it declined somewhat and is moving in the mid-153 yen range. Looking at the 1-hour chart of the USDJPY (as of GMT 15:40 on November 5), it has broken above the recent high of 153.88 yen and is trading above the +2 standard deviations level.
2024.11.05
[November 5] The USDJPY decline pauses. Will there be a gap fill before the presidential election results?
As a so-called "5/10 day" (a date ending in "5" or on a multiple of "10" on which Japanese companies often settle foreign exchange payments), today the USDJPY has risen despite pushback, and as of GMT 04:00 is trading in the lower half of the 152-yen range. If the movement to fill the gap continues beyond the previous day's high of 152.52 yen, we might see levels above 153 yen.
2024.11.04
[November 4] USDJPY falls below 152 yen, caution needed regarding volatility risk from U.S. presidential election
This week the USDJPY gapped down at the open and started trading at 152.26 yen. It moved down directly after the open, marking a low of 151.59 at around GMT 05:30. Looking at the 1-hour chart of the USDJPY (as of GMT 03:40 on November 4), the middle line is trending downward, with the candlesticks breaking below the -1σ and falling along the -2σ line.
2024.11.01
[November 1] After decline following Governor Ueda's press conference, markets stabilize; U.S. employment statistics due in evening
Today's the USDJPY saw yen buying during Tokyo hours, touching 151.78 yen past GMT 23:30 on October 31, but as of GMT 04:00, is trading in the mid-152 yen range. Looking at the the USDJPY 1-hour chart (as of GMT 04:20, November 1), the decline has paused and turned upward, crossing above the middle line.
2024.10.31
[October 31] Interest rate left unchanged by BOJ, as expected, with limited impact on market
Today it was announced shortly after GMT 02:30 that the Bank of Japan Monetary's Monetary Policy Meeting had left the policy interest rate unchanged.
2024.10.30
[October 30] Underlying tone of yen weakness continues, market may be in wait-and-see mode ahead of U.S. GDP announcements
Today the USDJPY moved down directly after the open, but after hitting 153.07 some time after GMT 00:00 it bottomed out, and as of GMT 04:00 it was trading in the lower half of the 153-yen range without a clear sense of direction.
2024.10.29
[October 29] Post-House of Representatives movement has died down; will the next phase be driven by U.S. Presidential elections?
Today the USDJPY initially trended down, falling below 153 yen at around GMT 00:50, but it stopped falling after GMT 01:00, and as of GMT 04:00 had returned to the 153-yen range.
2024.10.28
[October 28] JPY weakens as uncertainty grows after ruling party loses majority
The USDJPY gapped up at the start of Tokyo trading, starting at 153.18. Selling pressure on the yen accelerated after the ruling coalition failed to secure a majority in Sunday's general election, creating political uncertainty. It hit 153.88 after GMT 01:30 and is trading in the mid-153 range as of GMT 04:00.
2024.10.25
[October 25] Decline Pauses Ahead of Weekend General Election
Today, a "5/10 day" (a date ending in "5" or on a multiple of "10" on which Japanese companies often settle foreign exchange payments), the USDJPY rose from 151.57 marked around GMT 00:00 to a high of 152.10 shortly after GMT 01:30 before falling back. As of GMT 04:00, it is trading in the upper half of the 151-yen range. With the general election approaching on October 27, the market is in a wait-and-see mode. Looking at the 1-hour chart of the USDJPY (as of GMT 04:00 on October 25), the decline from the previous day petered out. It is trading closer to the middle line, with contracting bands indicating no clear directional momentum.
2024.10.24
[October 24] Correction after upward surge? Take a view based on the shape of the Bollinger Bands
Today the USDJPY chart shows the price hitting 152.82 yen around GMT 22:00, then fluctuating as the market trended down. After Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato and Deputy Chief Cabinet Secretary Kazuhiko Aoki made statements that pushed the market towards a weaker yen, the USDJPY was trading in the lower half of the 152-yen range some time after GMT 04:30. Looking at the 1-hour chart of the USDJPY (as of GMT 03:30 on October 24), the angle of the middle line is approaching the horizontal and the bands that had been widening are now contracting, indicating that the market has become trendless over the period shown.
2024.10.23
[October 23] Market moves easily past previous day's high to trade in upper half of 151-yen range
Today the USDJPY broke above the high of the previous day some time after GMT 00:00 and gathered upward momentum, so that shortly after GMT 05:00 it was trading in the 152-yen range. Looking at the 1-hour chart of the USDJPY (as of GMT 03:05 on October 23), today's upward trend in the price can be seen to have resulted in a widening of the bands that had begun to tighten.
2024.10.22
[October 22] USDJPY briefly reaches the 151-yen range during the second half of the Tokyo session
During the early stages of today's Tokyo session, the USDJPY declined in leisurely fashion, but shortly after GMT 01:00 it hit a low of 150.49 yen and began to increase, surpassing the high of the previous day. Not long after GMT 04:00, the price briefly exceeded 151 yen. Looking at the 1-hour chart of the USDJPY (as of GMT 03:40 on October 22), the price is trading above the upwardly trending middle line and mostly above the +1 standard deviation, confirming the upward swing of the market.
2024.10.21
[October 21] The week starts by inheriting Friday's downward trend
Today in the Tokyo session, falling below the level of the previous trading day and setting a new low of 149.08 not long after GMT 03:30.
2024.10.18
[October 18] After briefly breaking above 150 yen the market trades on either side of it
Today the USDJPY trended downward for the first half of the Tokyo session, falling below the 150-yen level. Looking at the daily chart of the USDJPY (as of GMT 03:35 on October 18), despite having broken above the round number of 150 yen, trading has straddled this level rather than accelerating upward.
2024.10.17
[October 17] Marking time just below 150 yen. Aim to follow the direction in which it breaks
In today's Tokyo session, the USDJPY has continued the downward trend of the last phase of the previous trading day, hitting a low of 149.24 some time after GMT 02:30. Looking at the 1-hour chart of the USDJPY (as of GMT 03:35 on October 17), the price is moving sideways in a triangle formation just below the crucial 150-yen level, forming higher lows and lower highs. The basic approach here would be to move in the direction in which the price breaks.
2024.10.16
[October 16] Be careful of the price breaking out to the downside of the sideways triangle formation
Today in the first half of the Tokyo session, the USDJPY if anything trended downwards from the lower end of the 149-range, entering the 148-yen range for the time being. Looking at the 1-hour chart of the USDJPY (as of GMT 03:45 on October 16), the second push down came to an end just after the price entered the 148-yen range.
2024.10.15
[October 15] The market explores a full-fledged challenge on the 150-yen level
In the first half of today's Tokyo session, the USDJPY entered a downward trend following yesterday's rebound. Shortly after GMT 01:30 the yen hit a low of 149.44. Looking at the daily chart of the USDJPY (as of GMT 03:30 on October 15), the close has broken above the previous high of 149.38 on August 15, but the price has been unable to surpass 150 yen.
2024.10.14
[October 14] Can the market overcome resistance around the 149.40 level?
This week the USDJPY gapped down slightly at the open and started trading at 148.96 yen. This gap was then quickly filled, and the price began to rise. Looking at the daily chart of the USDJPY (as of GMT 03:35 on October 14), the increase in the price is just about being held back by resistance at 149.38.
