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[October 27] USDJPY returns to the 153-yen range, likely to chase higher levels
Today the USDJPY dropped to a low of 152.65 shortly after GMT 01:00 as dollar selling and yuan buying--spurred by optimism over progress in U.S.-China talks--rippled through the market. However, it quickly rebounded and as of GMT 05:00 has continued rising, reaching a high of 153.25.
FXON Market Analysis (October 20 to October 26)
In the foreign exchange market for the week that ended on October 26th, the dollar strengthened against the yen. The sell-off of the yen was driven by market expectations that the new Japanese Prime Minister, Sanae Takaichi, would implement an expansionary fiscal policy, while the Bank of Japan (BOJ) showed reluctance to raise interest rates. The EURUSD halted its downtrend, but the pound continued to weaken against the dollar.
[October 24] USDJPY rises to 153-yen range for first time since the 10th after consolidation at high levels
Today the USDJPY has been trading firmly with yen selling advancing and no verbal intervention from Finance Minister Katayama. The pair reached a high of 153.01 at around GMT 05:00.
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[October 23] Yen selling continues from start of week, USDJPY rises to mid-152-yen range
Today the USDJPY has traded firmly since hitting a low of 151.82 shortly after GMT 22:00 (on October 22), reaching a high of 152.57 around GMT 04:00. However, the rally has not continued, and as of GMT 05:00, the pair is trading sideways in the lower 152-yen range.
[October 22] Yen selling following Takaichi's appointment as Prime Minister has run its course, with trading flat in the upper 151-yen range
Today the USDJPY peaked at around 151.95 yen at approximately GMT 23:30 (on October 21), then traded lower to reach a low of 151.48 yen at around GMT 01:00. As of GMT 04:30, the price is moving in the upper 151-yen range.
[October 21] Slight yen weakness pushes toward 151 yen as LDP's Takaichi set to become Prime Minister
Today the USDJPY is trading somewhat firmly amid expectations (as of GMT 05:00) that LDP President Takaichi will be elected Prime Minister in the extraordinary Diet session's prime ministerial nomination vote. Shortly after GMT 04:30, the price hit a high of 151.24.
[October 20] Takaichi trade resumes? USDJPY temporarily returns to 151-yen range at the start of the week
Today the USDJPY was supported by yen weakness as the Liberal Democratic Party and Japan Innovation Party effectively agreed to form a coalition government, creating expectations that Takaichi will become Prime Minister. The pair reached a high of 151.20 yen shortly after GMT 01:00, but the rally has now paused, and as of GMT 05:00 the pair is trading in the upper 150-yen range.
FXON Market Analysis (October 13 to October 19)
In the foreign exchange market for the week that ended on October 19th, the dollar weakened further against the yen. As market anxiety increased over reignited U.S.-China tensions, U.S. banking panic, and U.S. monetary policy, the USDJPY fell below the 150 yen level.
[October 17] New concerns pile up as risk-averse sentiment continues, breaking below the 150-yen range
Today the USDJPY has shown limited upside potential due to multiple U.S. concerns including U.S.-China tensions and the government shutdown, trading somewhat softly with fluctuations. It reached a low of 149.89 shortly after GMT 03:30 and as of GMT 05:00 is trading in the upper 149-yen range.
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[October 16] USDJPY downtrend hits pause in mid-150-yen range
Today the USDJPY saw yen buying following comments from U.S. and Japanese finance officials, reaching 150.51 yen around GMT 00:30 where it found support, then hitting a high of 151.11 yen shortly after GMT 04:30, and as of GMT 05:00 is rising in the lower 151-yen range.
[October 15] Risk-averse yen buying continues, pushing USDJPY toward sub-151-yen levels
Today yen buying accelerated as reports emerged that President Trump is considering imposing sanctions on Spain, in addition to the ongoing U.S.-China retaliatory measures that have continued since last Friday. The price hit a low of 151.00 around GMT 03:00.
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[October 14] Concerns over deteriorating U.S.-China relations trigger risk-averse yen buying, USDJPY falls below 152 again
Today the USDJPY traded firmly from shortly after the opening, reaching a high of 152.61 around GMT 0:30, but reports that China would impose sanctions on five U.S.-related companies triggered risk-averse yen buying, and the pair hit a low of 151.75 shortly after GMT 4:00.
[October 13] Trump tariffs return, USDJPY struggles to recover from sharp drop of over 2 yen, locked in battle near 152-yen range
Markets at the start of the week gapped up at the open. Buybacks emerged from the previous day's decline, and the pair reached a high of 152.27 shortly after GMT 22:00 (on October 12), but has struggled to extend gains since then, with trading hovering near the 152-yen range as of GMT 04:30.
FXON Market Analysis (October 6 to October 12)
In the foreign currency market for the week that ended on October 12th, speculation about the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) monetary policy, following the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) presidential election on October 4th, as well as political uncertainty in Japan, triggered a sell-off of the yen. Consequently, the USDJPY skyrocketed and broke the annual high set in February. However, the dollar was sold and the pair plummeted after U.S. President Donald Trump announced new tariffs on China on October 10th.
[October 10] Takaichi's comments temporarily halt rally, but USDJPY remains firm
Today the USDJPY reached a high of 153.27 yen around GMT 23:00 (on October 9) before weakening, and hit a low of 152.63 yen shortly after GMT 04:00.
[October 9] USDJPY pauses after briefly touching 153 yen, moves sideways in mid-152-yen range
Today the USDJPY has paused after the previous day's gains and is trading slightly softer. It reached a high of 152.76 around GMT 01:00, but as of GMT 05:00, it's trading in the mid-152-yen range without clear direction.
[October 8] Strong upward trend continues as USDJPY breaks through 152-yen level
Today the USDJPY hit a low of 151.73 yen around GMT 22:00 (on October 7), but then pushed higher to reach 152.64 yen around GMT 02:00. As of GMT 04:00, it is moving in the mid-152 yen range.
