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2025.12.12 NEW

[December 12] USDJPY hovers in mid-155-yen range as rate differential-driven decline pauses and markets adopt wait-and-see stance

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Recap of previous trading day (December 11)

Yesterday the USDJPY rose to 156.16 yen shortly after GMT 06:00, but overall traded softly. Dollar selling and yen buying had been gaining momentum on expectations of a narrowing U.S.-Japan interest rate differential, but following weak U.S. initial jobless claims data released at GMT 13:30, the pair fell to a low of 154.94 yen shortly after GMT 14:30. Trading for the day closed at 155.58 yen.

Recap of the Tokyo market and outlook going forward

Today the USDJPY rebounded from the previous day's decline and has been trading firmly. The pair touched a high of 155.77 yen around GMT 01:00 before pulling back, but as of GMT 05:00 it has returned to the 155.7-yen range.

Looking at the 1-hour chart of the USDJPY (as of GMT 05:10 on December 12), the decline has paused, but it is difficult to see a clear direction. As long as the price doesn't break above 156.16 yen, selling on rallies appears to be an effective strategy.

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(20-period Bollinger Band, showing ±1 and ±2 standard deviations)

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