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[July 7] Trump attempts to contain BRICS, market leans somewhat toward dollar buying
Today the USDJPY hit a low of 144.22 shortly after GMT 01:00. President Trump mentioned the possibility of imposing an additional 10% tariff on countries that cooperate with BRICS, and the market reacted with dollar buying.Around GMT 03:30, it hit a high of 144.84 yen.
FXON Market Analysis (June 30 to July 6)
In the foreign exchange market for the week that ended on July 6th, the USDJPY fluctuated sensitively in response to the U.S. employment data and comments made by U.S. President Donald Trump. Consequently, the dollar strengthened slightly against the yen. While the EURUSD experienced a relatively solid fluctuation, the GBPUSD fell amid emerging U.K. political and fiscal uncertainties.
[July 4] Strong employment statistics results cause USDJPY to temporarily exceed 145-yen range but fail to sustain upward momentum
Today the USDJPY continued to decline in adjustment from last night's sharp rise, hitting a low of 144.32 around GMT 04:30. As of GMT 05:00, it is trading in the lower 144-yen range.
[July 3] USDJPY trades firmly amid caution ahead of U.S. employment statistics
Looking at the 1-hour chart of the USDJPY (as of GMT 04:20 on July 3), the middle line is almost horizontal, indicating a situation where direction is difficult to discern. It could be said that this is a phase where it is preferable to wait until the price breaks either upward or downward.
[July 2] USDJPY breaks below 143 yen but rebounds. Market moves to explore next direction.
Today the USDJPY turned upward after hitting a low of 143.31 around GMT 00:00, and reached a high of 143.74 at GMT 02:00, but as of GMT 04:00 it is moving without direction in the 143.5-yen range.
[July 1] Dollar falls for sixth consecutive month. View that dollar weakness will continue remains strong.
Today the USDJPY saw yen buying following good results from the Bank of Japan's Tankan survey for large manufacturing companies, hitting a low of 143.43 yen shortly after GMT 01:00. As of GMT 04:30, the price is moving in the upper 143-yen range.
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[June 30] Consolidation continues in low price range, USDJPY approaches breaking below 144-yen level
As a so-called "5/10 day" (a date ending in "5" or on a multiple of "10" on which Japanese companies often settle foreign exchange payments), today the USDJPY hit a high of 144.76 shortly after GMT 00:30, turned to decline after the TTM (Telegraphic Transfer Middle Rate) passed, and hit a low of 144.0 around GMT 04:30. President Trump stated regarding the reciprocal tariff suspension deadline approaching on July 9 that "there is no need to extend it," and selling pressure on the dollar is increasing.
FXON Market Analysis (June 23 to June 29)
In the foreign exchange market for the week that ended on June 29th, the dollar weakened against other major currencies following the ceasefire agreement between Iran and Israel, which came after an escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
[June 27] Expectations for dollar weakness remain strong, heavy upside continues
Today the USDJPY reached a high of 144.80 around GMT 01:30 before declining, hitting a low of 144.19 around GMT 02:00. As of GMT 04:00 the price is moving around the mid-144-yen range without direction.
Notice of Change to Trading Hours in July 2025
We would like to inform you that trading hours for certain instruments will be changed due to public holidays between July 1, 2025, and July 21, 2025.
[June 26] Trump's frustration at Fed Chair leads to rate cut speculation and dollar weakness from declining confidence
Today the USDJPY hit a low of 144.66 yen at around GMT 02:00 as expectations of a early rate cut heightened following reports that President Trump is considering nominating a new Fed Chair. As of GMT 05:00, the price is consolidating in the upper 144-yen range.
[June 25] Decline pauses, moving to consolidation around the 145-yen range
Today the USDJPY reached a high of 145.04 yen shortly after GMT 00:30 before declining, hitting a low of 144.60 yen around GMT 02:00. There is no clear directional sense, and as of GMT 05:00 it is moving in the upper 144-yen range.
[June 24] Dollar buying due to geopolitical tensions subsides, sharp drop from 148-yen range to 145-yen range
Today the USDJPY continued unwinding dollar buying as tensions in the Middle East situation eased, hitting a low of 145.29 yen shortly after GMT 03:00.
[June 23] Dollar buying dominates amid geopolitical tensions, USDJPY reaches 147-yen range
Today the USDJPY saw dollar buying dominate amid geopolitical tensions, following weekend reports that the U.S. attacked Iranian nuclear facilities. The price hit a high of 147.01 at around GMT 04:30.
FXON Market Analysis (June 16 to June 22)
In the foreign exchange market for the week that ended on June 22nd, traders were increasingly aware of geopolitical risk. Also, they focused on the fiscal policy announcements from some major central banks.
[June 20] Two-week grace period from U.S. to Iran causes dollar buying to pause
Today the USDJPY is experiencing unwinding of risk-averse dollar buying after the U.S. announced it would decide within two weeks whether or not to attack Iran. After reaching a high of 145.56 shortly after GMT 22:30 (on June 19), the price has been consolidating in the mid-145-yen range.
[June 19] FOMC maintains policy stance, dollar strengthens over Middle East concerns
Looking at the 1-hour chart of the USDJPY (as of GMT 04:30 on June 19), it continues to fluctuate within a range, making it difficult to discern the direction. At present, the most promising scenario seems to be either breaking above the resistance level of 145.46 or breaking below the recent support level of 144.32.
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