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2025.08.15

[August 15] Unable to reach new highs, USDJPY almost breaks below 147 yen

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Recap of previous trading day (August 14)

Yesterday the USDJPY fell directly after the opening and hit a low of 146.21 shortly after GMT 06:00. Following the strong U.S. July PPI results released at GMT 12:30, the price turned higher and reached a high of 147.96 around GMT 18:00, with trading for the day closed at those highs.

Recap of the Tokyo market and outlook going forward

Today the USDJPY reversed course from yesterday's gains and traded weakly. The price hit a low of 147.04 around GMT 05:00.

Looking at the 1-hour chart of the USDJPY (as of GMT 05:20 on August 15), the price has been capped without breaking recent highs and is now almost breaking below the 147-yen range. The market is watching whether the price will bounce again near the 146.5 yen level or continue its downward trajectory.

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(20-period Bollinger Band, showing ±1 and ±2 standard deviations)

The main economic indicators for today are as follows:

  • GMT 12:30 U.S. July Retail sales
  • GMT 12:30 U.S. July Retail sales (excluding autos)
  • GMT 12:30 U.S. August New York Empire State Manufacturing Index
  • GMT 13:15 U.S. July Industrial production
  • GMT 14:00 U.S. August Michigan Consumer Sentiment, preliminary
  • GMT 20:00 U.S. June Total net TIC flows

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