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2024.09.26 [September 26] Pullback at 145: Will It Re-enter the 145-yen Range?

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Recap of previous trading day (September 25)

Due in part to the so-called "5/10 day" (a date ending in "5" or on a multiple of "10" on which Japanese companies often settle foreign exchange payments), the USDJPY bottomed at 142.88 right after GMT 22:30 on Tuesday before rebounding. The upward trend strengthened around GMT 06:00 on Wednesday, and by just after GMT 20:00, the rate reached 144.84, surpassing the previous day's high. The day's trading closed at 144.74.

Recap of the Tokyo market and outlook going forward

Today, the USDJPY hit a low of 144.44 before GMT 01:00, then climbed to around the key 145 level by GMT 04:00. However, it has since pulled back from that point.

Looking at the 1-hour chart of the USDJPY (as of GMT 05:05 on September 26), you can observe that the resistance line at 144.44 turned into support.

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(20-period Bollinger Band, showing ±1 and ±2 standard deviations)

Today's main economic indicators are as follows.

  • GMT 12:30 U.S. Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Q2 (final, % QoQ)
  • GMT 12:30 U.S. PCE Price Index, Q2 (final, % QoQ)
  • GMT 12:30 U.S. Core PCE Price Index, Q2 (final, % QoQ)
  • GMT 12:30 U.S. August durable goods orders (MoM)
  • GMT 12:30 U.S. August durable goods orders excluding transportation (MoM)
  • GMT 12:30 U.S. Initial jobless claims for the previous week
  • GMT 12:30 U.S. Continuing jobless claims for the previous week
  • GMT 13:20 U.S. Statements from FRB Chairman Jerome Powell
  • GMT 14:00 U.S. August Pending Home Sales

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