2024.09.16 [September 16] With the Japanese market on holiday, will the downward trend continue?

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Recap of previous trading day (September 13)

On Friday of last week the USDJPY resumed its downward trend shortly after GMT 22:00. It was reported that the FOMC is considering whether to make an interest rate cut of 25bp or 50bp, leading to the view that a 50bp cut is more likely, to which the market reacted by selling dollars. A little while after GMT 13:30 the price hit 140.28, which was a new low for the year.

GMT 14:00 saw the announcement of preliminary U.S. Michigan Consumer Sentiment figures. This was a good result, coming in at 69.0 compared to an expectation of 68.5, but the market's reaction was limited. There was a move to buy the dollar but the price struggled to rise, and trading for the week ended at 140.78.

Recap of the Tokyo market and outlook going forward

The Tokyo market is on holiday today.

As of GMT 03:00 the USDJPY was trading in the 140-yen range, with no clear direction detectable.

Looking at the 1-hour chart of the USDJPY (as of GMT 03:00 on September 16), the price has fallen through the critical level of 141.68, and is walking along the lower band.

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(20-period Bollinger Band, showing ±1 and ±2 standard deviations)

Today's main economic indicators are as follows.

  • GMT 12:30 U.S. September New York Empire State Manufacturing Index

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