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2025.07.18 NEW

[July 18] USDJPY shows resilience but fails to sustain 149-yen range, moves sideways in 148-yen territory

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Recap of previous trading day (July 17)

Yesterday the USDJPY moved solidly higher after reports denied that President Trump would dismiss FRB Chair Jerome Powell, leading to dollar buying. The price reached a low of 147.72 shortly after the opening and then traded firmly.

Strong U.S. economic data, including June retail sales released at GMT 12:30, pushed the price to a high of 149.09, though it quickly retreated. Trading for the day closed at 148.48.

Recap of the Tokyo market and outlook going forward

Today the USDJPY hit a low of 148.29 around GMT 00:00 [previous day] on dollar selling after FRB Governor Christopher Waller expressed support for a July rate cut. The price has since recovered and is trading solidly in the upper 148-yen range as of GMT 05:00.

Looking at the 1-hour chart of the USDJPY (as of GMT 05:00 on July 18), it shows sideways movement after volatile swings subsided, making it difficult to determine a clear direction.

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(20-period Bollinger Band, showing ±1 and ±2 standard deviations)

The main economic indicators for today are as follows:

  • GMT 12:30 U.S. June Housing starts
  • GMT 12:30 U.S. June Building permits
  • GMT 14:00 U.S. July Michigan Consumer Sentiment, preliminary

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