2024.07.26 [July 26] USDJPY rebounds after strong quarterly GDP figures, personal consumption expenditures due today

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Recap of previous trading day (July 25)

Yesterday the USDJPY bottomed at 151.93 at some point between GMT 08:00 and GMT 09:00, formed an inverse head and shoulders, and began rising.

U.S. real gross domestic product (GDP) for Q2 (preliminary) was announced just after GMT 12:30. Against a consensus forecast of annualized growth of 2.0%, the actual figure was a robust 2.8%. In response to this the market gathered momentum after breaking above the neckline of the inverse head and shoulders, hitting a high of 154.32 some time after GMT 16:00.

Recap of the Tokyo market and outlook going forward

Today the USDJPY lacked direction in the morning, with the market confined to a price range centered on 154 yen.

Looking at the 1-hour chart of the USDJPY (as of GMT 03:25 on July 26), due to the pause in the fall in the price, the middle line of the Bollinger Bands has switched to an upward trend.

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(20-period Bollinger Band, showing ±1 and ±2 standard deviations)

Today's main economic indicators are as follows.

  • GMT 12:30 U.S. June Personal Income (MoM)
  • GMT 12:30 U.S. June Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE, MoM)
  • GMT 12:30 U.S. June Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE deflator, YoY)
  • GMT 12:30 U.S. June Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE core deflator, excluding food and energy, MoM)
  • GMT 12:30 U.S. June Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE core deflator, excluding food and energy, YoY)
  • GMT 14:00 U.S. July Michigan Consumer Sentiment, final

Attention will be focused on personal consumption expenditures due at GMT 12:30 today.

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