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2024.06.19

[June 19] With the U.S. market on holiday, price movements may lack vigor

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Recap of previous trading day (June 18)

Yesterday the USDJPY began rising at around GMT 03:00, hitting a high of 158.22 not long after GMT 08:00.

U.S. retail sales announced yesterday came in at 0.1% month on month compared to a forecast of 0.2%, while retail sales excluding autos were -0.1% month on month against a forecast of 0.2%.

Recap of the Tokyo market and outlook going forward

During the first part of today's Tokyo session, the USDJPY traded with little energy in the upper half of the 157-yen range. Because the U.S. market is on holiday and because there are no closely watched economic indicators scheduled, it is possible that volatility will remain low.

Looking at the 1-hour chart of the USDJPY (as of GMT 03:40 on June 19), we can see that the price is rising gradually after a deep pullback.

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(20-period Bollinger Band, showing ±1 and ±2 standard deviations)

Today's main economic indicators are as follows.

  • GMT 14:00 U.S. June NAHB Housing Market Index

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