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2024.04.18 [April 18] Despite small decline in the first half of Asian session, price again rebounds after falling below 154 yen

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Recap of previous trading day (April 17)

Yesterday, price movement in the USDJPY took place around the middle of the 154-yen range during the Tokyo session and the first half of the London session.

A little way after GMT 16:00 the price fell below the previous low for the day, and some time after GMT 18:00 it touched a low of 154.15 yen.

Recap of the Tokyo market and outlook going forward

Today the USDJPY opened at 154.33. Not long after GMT 02:00 the price fell below the recent low, going down as far as 153.95, but it recovered immediately and resumed trading in the 154-yen range.

Looking at the 1-hour chart of the USDJPY (as of GMT 03:40 on April 17), it can be seen that volatility is declining and the Bollinger Bands are tightening.

Looking at the 1-hour chart of the USDJPY (as of GMT 05:20 on April 18), the price can be seen moving along and breaking below the -1 standard deviation of the Bollinger Band. Also, the price again rebounds from the 153.96-yen level of which we have become aware the past few days.

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(20-period Bollinger Band, showing ±1 and ±2 standard deviations)

Today's main economic indicators are as follows.

  • GMT 12:30 U.S. April Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index
  • GMT 12:30 U.S. Initial jobless claims for the previous week
  • GMT 12:30 U.S. Continuing jobless claims for the previous week
  • GMT 14:00 U.S. March Leading Index (MoM)
  • GMT 14:00 U.S. March Existing home sales (seasonally adjusted annual rate)
  • GMT 14:00 U.S. March Existing home sales (MoM)

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