2024.03.27 [March 27] Today's surge in the morning session resulted in a new high for recent trading, but only just

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Recap of previous trading day (March 26)

The US dollar-Japanese yen rate failed to show any energy throughout yesterday's session, hitting a low of 151.20 yen after 6 p.m. before rising to touch 151.60 before 1 a.m., after the change of date.

The March Consumer Confidence Index (Conference Board) undershot expectations, with an announced figure of 104.7 compared to an forecast of 107.0.

Recap of the Tokyo market and outlook going forward

For a short while after opening at 150.51 today the yen showed no clear trend, but the price began to rise sharply after 10 a.m., and shortly after 11:30 a.m. made a new recent high of 151.96 yen, although only barely. However, this was followed by a V-shaped downward reversal.

The 60-minute chart of the yen (as of 13:55 on March 27) shows the sudden increase in the morning resulting in the price breaking through the upper +2 SD line of the Bollinger Band. It promptly returned to the vicinity of the +1 SD line, but the middle line is on a rising trend.

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(20-period Bollinger Band, showing +1 SD, +2 SD)

No closely watched economic indicators or comments by influential individuals are scheduled for today. The market may increasingly incline towards a wait-and-see mood ahead of the announcement of Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) on Friday.

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