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2026.03.30 NEW

Dollar selling as crude oil stalls and yen depreciation warnings mount

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This article was : 

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Recap of previous trading day (March 27)

On Friday of last week the USDJPY hit a low of 159.45 shortly after GMT 00:30, before gradually pushing higher while consolidating within a range. Reports of an attack on Iran's heavy water reactor facility drove further dollar buying, pushing the pair to a high of 160.41 around GMT 16:30, and trading for the day closed at 160.25.

Recap of the Tokyo market and outlook going forward

Today the USDJPY reached a high of 160.46 around GMT 22:30 (on March 29), but has since trended lower on the back of strong warnings against yen depreciation from Vice Minister of Finance for International Affairs Atsushi Mimura and a stalling crude oil market, trading around 159.7 as of GMT 04:00.

Looking at the 1-hour chart of the USDJPY (as of GMT 04:10 on March 30), the pair reversed after reaching the upper Bollinger Band, but since dipping below the -1 standard deviation level, the lower wicks have been extending, suggesting buying pressure is building again. As long as the pair holds above 159.45, the upward trend appears likely to continue.

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(20-period Bollinger Band, showing ±1 and ±2 standard deviations)

The main economic indicators for today are as follows:

  • GMT 14:30 Statements from U.S. FRB Chairman Jerome Powell

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