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2026.02.04 NEW

Yen weakness continues as LDP leads in lower house election

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This article was : 

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Recap of previous trading day (February 3)

Yesterday the USDJPY traded softly during Tokyo hours, hitting a low of 155.30 around GMT 04:30, before dollar buying strengthened and pushed the pair to a high of 156.08 around GMT 14:00. However, concerns over potential intervention triggered a pullback, and trading for the day closed at 155.72 yen.

Recap of the Tokyo market and outlook going forward

Today the USDJPY has traded firmly on reports of the LDP's lead in the lower house election, reaching a high of 156.39 shortly after GMT 03:00. As of GMT 05:00, the pair is trading in the lower 156-yen range.

Looking at the 1-hour chart of the USDJPY (as of GMT 05:10 on February 4), the pair continues to set new highs while forming pullbacks along the way. The upward trend continues, though a break below 155.52 may warrant a wait-and-see approach.

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(20-period Bollinger Band, showing ±1 and ±2 standard deviations)

The main economic indicators for today are as follows:

  • GMT 13:15 U.S. January ADP employment change
  • GMT 14:45 U.S. January Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI, revised)
  • GMT 14:45 U.S. January Composite Purchasing Managers Index (PMI, revised)
  • GMT 15:00 U.S. January ISM Services PMI

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