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2025.11.27

[November 27] Market shifts toward yen strength amid expectations of narrowing U.S.-Japan interest rate differential. USDJPY breaks below 156-yen range.

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Recap of previous trading day (November 26)

Yesterday the USDJPY saw yen buying driven by expectations of a December rate hike by the Bank of Japan, reaching a low of 155.65 yen at around GMT 02:30. It rebounded from there and hit a high of 156.73 yen shortly after GMT 14:00, but failed to reach 157 yen, and trading for the day closed at 156.45 yen.

Recap of the Tokyo market and outlook going forward

Today the USDJPY saw intensified yen buying driven by expectations of a narrowing U.S.-Japan interest rate differential, reaching a low of 155.72 yen at around GMT 01:30, but rebounded following dovish comments from Bank of Japan Policy Board member Noguchi, rising to around 156.18 yen. As of GMT 05:00, it has once again fallen below 156 yen and continues to trade weakly.

Looking at the 1-hour chart of the USDJPY (as of GMT 05:10 on November 27), the pair continues to decline without breaking above recent highs. If it clearly breaks below 155.65 yen, the next target is likely to be around 155.0 yen.

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(20-period Bollinger Band, showing ±1 and ±2 standard deviations)

Today, U.S. markets are closed, and no closely watched economic indicators are scheduled for release.

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