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2025.10.17

[October 17] New concerns pile up as risk-averse sentiment continues, breaking below the 150-yen range

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Recap of previous trading day (October 16)

Yesterday the USDJPY traded softly from directly after the opening but rebounded around the mid-150 range, reaching a high of 151.39 shortly after GMT 09:00.

However, two U.S. regional banks disclosed issues with loans suspected of fraud, accelerating dollar selling. Around GMT 19:30, the price touched a low of 150.21, and trading for the day closed at 150.42.

Recap of the Tokyo market and outlook going forward

Today the USDJPY has shown limited upside potential due to multiple U.S. concerns including U.S.-China tensions and the government shutdown, trading somewhat softly with fluctuations. It reached a low of 149.89 shortly after GMT 03:30 and as of GMT 05:00 is trading in the upper 149-yen range.

Looking at the 1-hour chart of the USDJPY (as of GMT 05:20 on October 17), the middle line is sloping downward, forming a downward Bollinger Band walk on this timeframe. With buying pressure showing some resistance, this appears to be an effective phase for incremental short-selling on rebounds.

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(20-period Bollinger Band, showing ±1 and ±2 standard deviations)

Today, no closely watched economic indicators are scheduled for release.

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