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2025.10.15 NEW

[October 15] Risk-averse yen buying continues, pushing USDJPY toward sub-151-yen levels

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Recap of previous trading day (October 14)

Yesterday the USDJPY reached a high of 152.61 yen shortly after GMT 00:30, but concerns over a prolonged U.S. government shutdown and uncertainty around U.S.-China relations fueled continued risk-averse yen buying, resulting in weak trading. The pair hit a low of 151.60 yen shortly after GMT 19:30.

Recap of the Tokyo market and outlook going forward

Today yen buying accelerated as reports emerged that President Trump is considering imposing sanctions on Spain, in addition to the ongoing U.S.-China retaliatory measures that have continued since last Friday. The price hit a low of 151.00 around GMT 03:00.

Looking at the 1-hour chart of the USDJPY (as of GMT 04:20 on October 15), the pair has broken below the recent low of 151.15 yen, with a continued pattern of lower highs and lower lows. If the pair breaks below the 151-yen range, the next target is likely to be around 150.0 yen.

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(20-period Bollinger Band, showing ±1 and ±2 standard deviations)

The main economic indicators for today are as follows:

  • GMT 12:30 U.S. October New York Empire State Manufacturing Index
  • GMT 18:00 U.S. Regional FRB economic reports (Beige Book)

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