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2025.07.10

[July 10] USDJPY unable to maintain 147-yen range and falls back due to expectations of U.S. rate cuts within the year

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Recap of previous trading day (July 9)

Yesterday the USDJPY showed an upward trend from shortly after the opening, reaching a high of 147.18 around GMT 02:00.

Following the release of the U.S. June FOMC meeting minutes, dollar selling began due to expectations of rate cuts within the year, hitting a low of 146.25 shortly after GMT 18:00, and trading for the day closed at 146.32 yen.

Recap of the Tokyo market and outlook going forward

Today the USDJPY saw yen buying after U.S. President Trump announced the imposition of 50% tariffs on Brazil. The price hit a low of 145.75 shortly after GMT 00:30 but rebounded, reaching a high of 146.41 yen around GMT 04:30.

Looking at the 1-hour chart of the USDJPY (as of GMT 04:40 on July 10), it is moving up and down within the Bollinger Bands, making it difficult to see directional momentum. After rebounding to the middle line, it formed a long upper wick and was pushed back down. The market is focused on whether the price will break below 145.75 yen.

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(20-period Bollinger Band, showing ±1 and ±2 standard deviations)

The main economic indicators for today are as follows:

  • GMT 12:30 U.S. Initial jobless claims for the previous week
  • GMT 12:30 U.S. Continuing jobless claims for the previous week

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