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2025.06.24 NEW

[June 24] Dollar buying due to geopolitical tensions subsides, sharp drop from 148-yen range to 145-yen range

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Recap of previous trading day (June 23)

Yesterday the USDJPY saw concentrated risk-averse dollar buying, reaching a high of 148.03 yen around GMT 11:00, but the gains halted and the price turned lower due to speculation of early U.S. rate cuts. The price hit a low of 146.01 shortly after GMT 18:00, and trading for the day closed at 146.09.

Recap of the Tokyo market and outlook going forward

Today the USDJPY continued unwinding dollar buying as tensions in the Middle East situation eased, hitting a low of 145.29 yen shortly after GMT 03:00.

Looking at the 1-hour chart of the USDJPY (as of GMT 05:00 on June 24), after transitioning to a downward Bollinger Band walk, the downward momentum is beginning to subside, and the recent low of 145.12 yen is being watched as a lower limit.

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(20-period Bollinger Band, showing ±1 and ±2 standard deviations)

The main economic indicators for today are as follows:

  • GMT 12:30 U.S. Q1 Current Account Balance
  • GMT 13:00 U.S. April Case-Shiller home price index
  • GMT 14:00 U.S. June Consumer Confidence Index
  • GMT 14:00 U.S. June Richmond Fed manufacturing index
  • GMT 14:00 U.S. Statements from FRB Chairman Jerome Powell

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