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2025.06.16

[June 16] Middle East tensions lead to risk appetite market, with dollar buying slightly dominant

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Recap of previous trading day (June 13)

On Friday of last week the USDJPY saw both yen and dollar bought simultaneously as risk aversion accelerated following reports that Israel had taken military action against Iran. After hitting a low of 142.79 yen around GMT 00:00, the price rebounded and reached a high of 144.48 around GMT 13:00, with trading for the day closing at 144.06 yen.

Recap of the Tokyo market and outlook going forward

Today the USDJPY started with a gap up following the Middle East situation over the weekend. It reached a high of 144.75 yen around GMT 23:00 (on June 15) before declining and hitting a low of 143.90 yen around GMT 01:00. As of GMT 05:00, it is trading in the lower 144-yen range.

Looking at the 1-hour chart of the USDJPY (as of GMT 04:50 on June 16), it has rebounded after falling below 143 yen and is trading above the middle line while forming a dip If the price breaks above the recent high of 144.75 yen, the next target would likely be 145.50 yen.

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(20-period Bollinger Band, showing ±1 and ±2 standard deviations)

The main economic indicators for today are as follows:

  • GMT 12:30 U.S. June New York Empire State Manufacturing Index

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