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2025.05.26 [May 26] Trump tariffs resurface causing risk aversion to reignite, dollar weakness continues

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Recap of previous trading day (May 23)

On Friday of last week the USDJPY continued to decline after reaching a high of 144.06 yen around GMT 22:00 (on May 22). President Trump's suggestion of new tariffs in a social media post accelerated the decline around GMT 11:00, and the pair hit a low of 142.42 yen shortly after GMT 17:00.

The decline then subsided, and trading for the day closed at 142.54 yen.

Recap of the Tokyo market and outlook going forward

Today the USDJPY surged immediately after the opening to reach a high of 143.08 yen but then fell back, hitting a low of 142.22 yen around GMT 02:00. As of GMT 05:00, it is trading in the upper 142-yen range.

Looking at the 1-hour chart of the USDJPY (as of GMT 05:00 on May 26), while the momentum of the decline has paused, the price has been unable to clearly break above the downward-sloping middle line. The downward trend appears likely to continue.

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(20-period Bollinger Band, showing ±1 and ±2 standard deviations)

Today, U.S. markets are closed, and no closely watched economic indicators are scheduled for release.

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