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2025.05.14 [May 14] Dollar strength fails to persist, adjustment continues as it approaches below 147 yen

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Recap of previous trading day (May 13)

Yesterday the USDJPY was seen as being in an adjustment phase after the rise through May 12 had paused, and it traded weakly after reaching a high of 148.45 yen shortly after GMT 23:00 (on May 12).

Although it had been gradually recovering toward New York trading hours, selling accelerated when the U.S. CPI results announced at GMT 12:30 came in poor. The pair hit a low of 147.37 after GMT 19:30 and trading for the day closed at 147.47.

Recap of the Tokyo market and outlook going forward

Today the USDJPY reached a high of 147.67 yen shortly after GMT 00:00, then declined, touching a low of 147.00 yen around GMT 01:30, and as of GMT 04:00, it is approaching today's low again.

Looking at the 1-hour chart of the USDJPY (as of GMT 04:00 on May 14), after the bands expanded, it is trading between -1 standard deviation and -2 standard deviations. If it clearly breaks below the 146.20 yen level, which has functioned as resistance in the past, it could potentially fall to around 145.5 yen.

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(20-period Bollinger Band, showing ±1 and ±2 standard deviations)

Today, no closely watched economic indicators are scheduled for release.

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