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2024.08.15

[August 15] No surprise in yesterday's CPI, and little news around to stimulate major moves in the market

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Recap of previous trading day (August 14)

Yesterday the USDJPY lacked direction, with the market trading in the 146-147 range.

Yesterday the USDJPY fluctuated sharply after the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures were announced at GMT 12:30, despite the figures being more or less in line with expectations. However, the price subsequently failed to show much direction.

Recap of the Tokyo market and outlook going forward

Today the USDJPY reached a high of 147.61 shortly before GMT 02:00, but the price is still lacking in momentum.

Looking at the 1-hour chart of the USDJPY (as of GMT 05:05 on August 15), the price remains contained within the upper and lower bands of the Bollinger Bands for long periods of time, and has not moved enough to drive a significant expansion in the ±2 standard deviation bands.

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(20-period Bollinger Band, showing ±1 and ±2 standard deviations)

Today's main economic indicators are as follows.

  • GMT 12:30 U.S. July Retail sales (MoM)
  • GMT 12:30 U.S. July Retail sales excluding autos (MoM)
  • GMT 12:30 U.S. August New York Empire State Manufacturing Index
  • GMT 12:30 U.S. August Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index
  • GMT 12:30 U.S. Initial jobless claims for the previous week
  • GMT 12:30 U.S. Continuing jobless claims for the previous week
  • GMT 13:15 U.S. July Industrial production (MoM)
  • GMT 14:00 U.S. August NAHB Housing Market Index
  • GMT 20:00 U.S. June Total net TIC flows
  • GMT 20:00 U.S. June Net long-term TIC flows

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