2024.07.03 [July 3] Price lacks momentum ahead of employment statistics and market holiday, but maintains 161-yen level

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Recap of previous trading day (July 2)

Yesterday the USDJPY reached a high of 161.74 before GMT 05:00, then fell back to record a low of 161.26 shortly after GMT 13:00.

Having fluctuated within the 161-yen range throughout the day, volatility did not increase significantly.

Recap of the Tokyo market and outlook going forward

Today the USDJPY trended upward after opening at 161.40, and some time after GMT 03:30 marked a high of 161.65.

Looking at the 1-hour chart of the USDJPY (as of GMT 04:10 on July 3), it seems that the previous high of 161.28 has flipped to become support.

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(20-period Bollinger Band, showing ±1 and ±2 standard deviations)

Today's main economic indicators are as follows.

  • GMT 12:15 U.S. June ADP employment change (MoM)
  • GMT 12:30 U.S. May Trade balance
  • GMT 12:30 U.S. Initial jobless claims for the previous week
  • GMT 12:30 U.S. Continuing jobless claims for the previous week
  • GMT 13:45 U.S. June Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI, revised)
  • GMT 13:45 U.S. June Composite Purchasing Managers Index (PMI, revised)
  • GMT 14:00 U.S. May Factory Orders (MoM)
  • GMT 14:00 U.S. June ISM Services PMI
  • GMT 18:00 U.S. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting Minutes

A sense of anticipation has been building gradually ahead of Friday's employment statistics, and July 4 is a market holiday in the United States. For that reason, sentiment among traders is such that major rises or falls in the price appear unlikely.

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