2024.05.31 [May 31] Market range-bound in the 156-yen zone. Price could move significantly when the PCE is announced at GMT 12:30

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Recap of previous trading day (May 30)

Yesterday the USDJPY continued its downward trend during Tokyo trading hours, reaching a low of 156.37 yen just after GMT 15:00.

The revised figure for real gross domestic product (GDP) in Q1, which was announced yesterday, came in at an annualized rate of 1.3% compared to a forecast of 1.3%. This was a decrease compared to the previous 1.6%.

Recap of the Tokyo market and outlook going forward

Today the USDJPY began trading at 156.77, but the market remained directionless and range-bound during the Tokyo session.

Looking at the 1-hour chart of the USDJPY (as of GMT 05:05 on May 31), the market settled after the decline in the price yesterday, and this has resulted in a contraction in the Bollinger Bands.

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(20-period Bollinger Band, showing ±1 and ±2 standard deviations)

Today's main economic indicators are as follows.

  • GMT 12:30 U.S. Real gross domestic product (GDP), Q1 (revised, % QoQ)
  • GMT 12:30 U.S. April Personal Income (MoM)
  • GMT 12:30 U.S. April Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE deflator, YoY)
  • GMT 12:30 U.S. April Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE core deflator, excluding food and energy, MoM)
  • GMT 12:30 U.S. April Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE core deflator, excluding food and energy, YoY)
  • GMT 13:45 U.S. May Chicago Purchasing Managers Index

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